Sports Betting Champ; Update: Aug 26, 2008

So the picks for Sports Betting Champ have ended for the season. As you may already be aware, a few picks ago, John Morrison added an additional criteria for a qualifying pick (you can read about it here if you are unfamiliar with what I am talking about)

Since then, the system went 100%. Actually, if that additional criteria had been used from the beginning of the season, there would not have been a single loss, and not a single time needing to use the “C” bet. If that had been the case, and the goal was to make $10 profit on each series, then the results for the season (with the additional criteria) would have looked like this:

Number of Qualifying Picks: 42
Number of Wins: 42
Total Amount Bet: $1,377.77
Total Profit/Loss: +$400 (+29.90%)

As for my own results using the actual picks sent out:

Number of Qualifying Picks: 44
Number of Wins: 40
Total Amount Bet: $1,750.31
Total Profit/Loss: -$54.06 (-3.09%)

Based on the new criteria, I will be trying this system again next season, but sticking to the flat $10 profit per pick and see how that does.

Sports Betting Champ; Update: Aug 18, 2008

OK, so apparently John Morrison has made a tweak to the system that takes into account a statistic called “Relative Power index”, or “RPI”, which takes in to account the team’s winning percentage and quality of opponents. The new tweak would pass on “qualified” picks who have an RPI that is less than a certain threshold. Apparent back-testing would have eliminated virtually all losses in the last 20 years and 27% fewer games/series to bet on. The current season would apparently be 37-0 using the new tweak, and all future picks this season (and beyond0 will be made with the new tweak, apparently. In addition, all 37 wins this season would have occurred on the “A” or “B” bet, and virtually eliminated the “C” bet.

I will await further testing, but I am leaning towards recommending this system, but with caution. With only a few games left to bet on this season, I will probably bet on it next season too, as the new tweaks seem to make it better, though time will only tell.

Within the next couple of days I will update what the results would have been for this season with the new tweaks, though they will not reflect my current results.